Posted on December 31, 2018 |
by Paul Fosse
December 31, 2018 for Paul Fosse
The brief generic answer to the title question is "Yes." I bought my Model 3 months ago and I love it. You can read more about my archives of the author. But there are other issues to be considered and people have different factors to consider. So I still read by nuances and some considerations about Tesla.
Every week, it seems we thought that Tesla would run out of model 3 cars that week. But the company maintained its production and, apparently, it worked in the backlog of orders a few weeks ago. People who still have reservations are divided into 3 categories:
- They are waiting for a cheaper car (the car of $ 35,000) or the lease that will be offered in the current Model 3.
- They are part of the world where you can not get Model 3. This is everywhere except the US and Canada.
- They have changed their minds or something they have not seen can not be bought at this time.
So, although Tesla still gets a few thousand new orders every week of new people who discover Model 3, it is not enough to sell the car manufacturer, even though the US federal tax credit goes away Reduce in half for Tesla buyers in 2 days is focusing on people's minds.
Although I expected Tesla to sell off its inventory this week, it seems that the availability has changed little of what I found last week. Local sales offices tell me that Tesla has a group of cars ready for shipping and delivery within the same days, as long as it can be something flexible in the options that I want.
I have consulted Tesla in Tampa, St. Louis and Denver. Cars are sold quickly, but not fast enough to be exhausted. In general, I have been sending 2 or 3 links to a friend that I am helping to decide on what to buy and when I check the links a couple of days later, they are usually dead (what I think means the car is sold ). When you call the dealer and request more links, find 2 or 3 more cars that meet the specifications I have requested.
What I guess this is that they have a large inventory in which they are working or they can rest, at least, as fast as they are. Once the fiscal credit is reduced on Tuesday, although I know that a large part of production will begin to be used in Europe and China, they do not want sales to drop too much in the United States, so I think it means they will take a or more "levers of demand".
Levers of demand
On October, we publish an excellent article on all the ways Tesla can increase the demand for your cars. Some of these levers have already been extracted, such as the geographical expansion and the new Mid Range battery pack. Other, such as tax compatibility, free overload for long periods of time and free wall chargers are possible, but will be reduced to gross margins at a time when it is determined that they remain profitable.
Many of the United States would be glad to see that the Standard Range battery now comes out (and did a good job of keeping the Mid Range battery secret until its release), but the website still says the standard battery is 4 to 6 months away. Keep in mind that 4 months ago the site said 6 to 9 months away, so I think it is unlikely that they will open orders for the Standard Range battery this week. In addition, only one month has passed since Elon Musk sent an email to all employees saying it would cost $ 38,000 to build a $ 35,000 car and ask employees to help find ways to cut cents from each of them 10,000 parts and processes necessary to put the Model 3 together.
My bet is that leases and / or subscriptions are the best way for Tesla to reduce the total monthly cost to the new owners without making any room with some of the other options. It is also exactly 7 months since Elon predicted that we would have leases in 6 to 9 months. His reason for not offering it was the cash flow (which was quite negative six months ago). Cash flow improves considerably, so it should not be an important problem.
So, what is the answer to the question I raised in the title of this article? Should I buy now or have to wait to see what Tesla will announce in 2019?
I can not say it, of course. For the answer, you have to look inside yourselves.
If you are a risk-maker (I am) and / or are not satisfied with the current options (I think the current options are excellent), waiting makes sense. I do not know what type of demand lever will be released, but I'm sure they will do something to sweeten the agreement after downloading the tax credit on January 1. My idea is that Tesla offers a lease or find a way to reduce the price a few thousand dollars at low $ 40,000.
On the other hand, if you value security and surprise yourself, and you are satisfied with the cars available now, there is no reason not to block a lot and get the biggest tax credit.
You can use my Tesla reference link to get up to 9 months of free charge (6 months if you have car testing with Tesla) in a Model S, Model X or Model 3. This is the code: https: // ts . la / paul92237